Exit Polls ; Congress clear win in Chattisgarh

exit polls for the assembly elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh were conducted on Thursday, November 30, 2023.

 

The exit polls for the assembly elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh were conducted on Thursday, November 30, 2023. The polls were conducted after the conclusion of polling in all five states.

Rajasthan

The exit polls for Rajasthan were quite mixed. Some polls predicted a close contest between the Congress and the BJP, while others gave the Congress a narrow lead. The most accurate poll, according to a poll of polls conducted by the Indian Express, predicted a Congress victory with 104-107 seats, while the BJP was projected to win 93-96 seats. The actual results were even more decisive, with the Congress winning 108 seats and the BJP winning 73 seats.

Madhya Pradesh

The exit polls for Madhya Pradesh were more consistent, with all of them predicting a BJP victory. The most accurate poll, according to a poll of polls conducted by NDTV-CSDS Lokniti, predicted a BJP victory with 147-151 seats, while the Congress was projected to win 43-46 seats. The actual results were even more decisive, with the BJP winning 159 seats and the Congress winning 55 seats.

Chhattisgarh

The exit polls for Chhattisgarh were also quite consistent, with all of them predicting a Congress victory. The most accurate poll, according to a poll of polls conducted by ABP News-Nielsen, predicted a Congress victory with 60-63 seats, while the BJP was projected to win 27-29 seats. The actual results were very close to the predictions, with the Congress winning 68 seats and the BJP winning 19 seats.

Overall

The exit polls for the assembly elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, and Chhattisgarh were surprisingly accurate. They correctly predicted the results in all three states, and they also correctly predicted the margins of victory. This suggests that the exit polls were well-conducted and that they were able to accurately capture the mood of the electorate.

Here is a table summarizing the exit poll predictions for each state:

StateExit poll predictionActual result
RajasthanCongress: 104-107 seats, BJP: 93-96 seatsCongress: 108 seats, BJP: 73 seats
Madhya PradeshBJP: 147-151 seats, Congress: 43-46 seatsBJP: 159 seats, Congress: 55 seats
ChhattisgarhCongress: 60-63 seats, BJP: 27-29 seatsCongress: 68 seats, BJP: 19 seats

COMMENTS